Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

56 minutes 27 seconds ago
755
ABNT20 KNHC 172325
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Southeastern Louisiana (AL93):
Satellite, surface, and radar data indicate that the broad low
pressure area that had been moving westward along the northern Gulf
coast is now centered over southeastern Louisiana. This system is
forecast to move farther inland tonight and on Friday, and
development is therefore not expected. Nonetheless, heavy rainfall
could still produce localized flash flooding over portions of the
north-central Gulf Coast through Friday.

This will be the last update on this system from the National
Hurricane Center. For additional information on the ongoing
potential for heavy rainfall and flooding, please refer to products
issued by the Weather Prediction Center and your local National
Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

6 hours 47 minutes ago
315
ABNT20 KNHC 171733
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northern Gulf Coast and Southeastern Louisiana (AL93):
Satellite, surface, and radar data indicate that the broad low
pressure area is moving inland over southeastern Louisiana, and
that the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains
disorganized and located mainly to the west and southwest
of the center. Little development is expected while the center
remains near the coast this afternoon and tonight, and the system
is expected to weaken as it moves farther inland on Friday.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of the north-central Gulf Coast through
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued
by the Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather
Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

12 hours 48 minutes ago
000
ABNT20 KNHC 171134
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northern Gulf Coast (AL93):
Satellite, surface, and radar data indicate that the broad low
pressure area over northern Gulf is located just south of the coast
of Mississippi. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity
remains disorganized and located mainly to the west and southwest
of the center. Some development could occur before the system moves
westward into Louisiana later today or tonight, although the
chances of the system developing into a tropical depression are low.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of the north-central Gulf Coast through
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued
by the Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather
Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

19 hours 5 minutes ago
986
ABNT20 KNHC 170517
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Recent satellite wind data, in combination with surface and radar
observations, indicate the broad area of low pressure located over
the far northern portion of the Gulf remains quite disorganized. In
addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains
displaced well west of the broad center. While some additional
development of this system remains possible over the next 12-24
hours, its current structure suggests its chances of developing into
a tropical depression before it reaches the Louisiana coast later
today are decreasing.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of the north-central Gulf Coast through
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued
by the Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather
Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

1 day ago
000
ABNT20 KNHC 162322
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Surface and radar observations indicate that a westward-moving broad
area of low pressure continues to be located near the coast of the
western part of the Florida Panhandle. The associated shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized and located south to
southwest of the center. This system is forecast to continue moving
westward across the northern portion of the Gulf tonight, and is
expected to reach the Louisiana coast by Thursday. If this system
moves far enough offshore, environmental conditions over the Gulf
appear generally favorable for additional development, and a
tropical depression could form over the next day or so before the
system moves fully inland by the end of the week.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida tonight and continuing for
portions of the north-central Gulf Coast through Friday. For
additional information, please refer to products issued by the
Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather Service
office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

1 day 6 hours ago
000
ABNT20 KNHC 161727
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Surface and radar observations indicate that a westward-moving
broad area of low pressure is located along the coast of the
Florida Panhandle near Panama City. The associated shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized and located mainly south
and southwest of the center. This system is forecast to continue
moving westward across the northern portion of the Gulf through
tonight, reaching the coast of Louisiana by Thursday. If this system
moves far enough offshore, environmental conditions over the Gulf
appear generally favorable for additional development, and a
tropical depression could form over the next day or two before
the system moves fully inland by the end of the week.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida through through today.
Heavy rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the
north-central Gulf Coast beginning late today and continuing through
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued
by the Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather
Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

1 day 12 hours ago
000
ABNT20 KNHC 161136
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Surface and radar observations indicate that a broad area of low
pressure is moving westward across the Florida Panhandle between
Tallahassee and Panama City. The associated shower and thunderstorm
activity is disorganized and located mainly south and southwest of
the center. This system is forecast to continue moving westward, and
could emerge or redevelop over the far northeastern to north-central
portion of the Gulf later today or tonight, reaching the coast of
Louisiana by Thursday. If this system moves far enough offshore,
environmental conditions over the Gulf appear generally favorable
for additional development, and a tropical depression could still
form over the next couple of days before the system moves fully
inland by the end of the week.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida through through today.
Heavy rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the
north-central Gulf Coast beginning late today and continuing through
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued
by the Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather
Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

1 day 18 hours ago
000
ABNT20 KNHC 160535
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Surface observations indicate that a broad area of low pressure
continues to move westward across the Florida Panhandle and is
producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity mainly south
of its center. This system is forecast to continue moving westward,
and could emerge or redevelop over the far northeastern to
north-central portion of the Gulf, reaching the coast of Louisiana
by Thursday. If this system moves far enough offshore, environmental
conditions over the Gulf appear generally favorable for additional
development, and a tropical depression could still form over the
next couple of days before the system moves fully inland by the end
of the week.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida through through today.
Heavy rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the
north-central Gulf Coast beginning late today and continuing through
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued
by your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2 days 1 hour ago
964
ABNT20 KNHC 152309
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Satellite and radar data indicate that the low pressure area moving
across the northern Florida peninsula continues to produce
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity, mainly to the south
and southwest of its center. The system is forecast to move
westward, and it could emerge over the far northeastern and
north-central Gulf, possibly approaching the coast of Louisiana on
Thursday. Environmental conditions over the Gulf appear generally
favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression
could form if the system moves far enough offshore over the next
couple of days.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida through Wednesday. Heavy
rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the
north-central Gulf Coast beginning late Wednesday and continuing
through Friday. For additional information, please refer to products
issued by your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2 days 7 hours ago
656
ABNT20 KNHC 151715
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Florida Peninsula into the Northeastern Gulf (AL93):
Satellite and radar data indicate that the low pressure area
previously over the Atlantic is moving onto the coast of
northeastern Florida. This system is currently producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity, and little
development is expected through tonight while the center is over
land. Once the system reaches the northeastern Gulf on Wednesday,
environmental conditions appear generally favorable for additional
development, and a tropical depression could form while the system
moves across the northeastern and north-central Gulf and approaches
the coast of Louisiana on Thursday.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida through Wednesday. Heavy
rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the
north-central Gulf Coast beginning Wednesday and continuing through
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued
by your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2 days 12 hours ago
678
ABNT20 KNHC 151140
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

East of the Florida Peninsula into the Northeastern Gulf (AL93):
Satellite and radar data indicate that the shower and thunderstorm
activity associated with the low pressure located just offshore of
the east coast of Florida remains disorganized. This system is
forecast to move westward across the Florida Peninsula today and
then reach the northeastern Gulf by Wednesday. Environmental
conditions appear generally favorable for additional development,
and a tropical depression could form while the system moves across
the northeastern and north-central Gulf.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida through mid-week. Heavy
rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the
north-central Gulf Coast during the middle to latter portions of
this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2 days 18 hours ago
489
ABNT20 KNHC 150531
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

East of the Florida Peninsula into the Northeastern Gulf (AL93):
Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the area of low
pressure located just offshore of the east coast of Florida is
gradually becoming better defined. However, the shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. This system is forecast
to move westward across the Florida Peninsula today and tonight,
then reach the northeastern Gulf by the middle part of this week.
Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for additional
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to
latter part of this week as the system moves across the northeastern
and north-central Gulf.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida through mid-week. Heavy
rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the
north-central Gulf Coast during the middle to latter portions of
this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

3 days ago
057
ABNT20 KNHC 142331
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

East of the Florida Peninsula into the Northeastern Gulf (AL93):
An area of low pressure located offshore of the east coast of
Florida continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms
primarily south of the center. This system is forecast to move
westward across the Florida Peninsula on Tuesday and Tuesday night,
eventually moving into the northeastern Gulf by the middle part of
this week. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for
additional development if the system remains offshore, and a
tropical depression could form as the system moves across the
northeastern and north-central Gulf by the middle to latter part of
this week.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf
coast through the middle to latter portion of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

3 days 7 hours ago
326
ABNT20 KNHC 141709
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern Gulf:
An area of low pressure located offshore of the east coast of
Florida is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This
disturbance is forecast to move westward across Florida during the
next day or so, and into the northeastern Gulf by late Tuesday.
Environmental conditions appear favorable and some gradual
development of this system is possible while it moves westward to
west-northwestward across the northeastern and north-central
portions of the Gulf during the middle to latter part of this week.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf
coast through the middle to latter portion of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

3 days 12 hours ago
349
ABNT20 KNHC 141138
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern Gulf:
An area of low pressure located offshore the east coast of Florida
is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms this morning.
This disturbance is forecast to move westward across Florida during
the next day or so, and into the northeastern Gulf by late Tuesday.
Environmental conditions appear favorable and some gradual
development of this system is possible while it moves westward to
west-northwestward across the northeastern and north-central
portions of the Gulf during the middle to latter part of this week.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf
coast through the middle to latter portion of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

3 days 19 hours ago
102
ABNT20 KNHC 140503
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern Gulf:
A trough of low pressure located offshore the Atlantic coast of
northern Florida is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
across portions of Florida, the northwestern Bahamas and adjacent
Atlantic waters. This system is forecast to move westward across
Florida during the next day or so, and into the northeastern Gulf by
late Tuesday. Environmental conditions appear favorable enough to
support some gradual development of this system while it moves
westward to west-northwestward across the northeastern and
north-central portions of the Gulf during the middle to latter part
of this week. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could
produce localized flash flooding over portions of Florida and the
north-central Gulf coast through the middle to latter portion of
this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

4 days 1 hour ago
402
ABNT20 KNHC 132313
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern Gulf:
A trough of low pressure located offshore the Atlantic coast of
northern Florida is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
across portions of the southeastern United States, northwestern
Bahamas and adjacent Atlantic waters. This system is forecast to
move westward across Florida during the next day or so, and into the
northeastern Gulf by late Tuesday. Environmental conditions could
support some gradual development of this system during the middle to
latter part of this week while it moves westward over the
northeastern and north-central portions of the Gulf. Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding
over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf coast through
the middle to latter portion of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

4 days 6 hours ago
159
ABNT20 KNHC 131726
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern Gulf:
A trough of low pressure near the southeastern U.S. coast is
expected move westward across Florida during the next day or so, and
into the northeastern Gulf by Tuesday. Environmental conditions
could support some gradual development of this system during the
middle to late part of this week while it moves westward over the
northeastern and north-central portions of the Gulf. Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding
over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf coast through
the mid to late portion of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

4 days 12 hours ago
169
ABNT20 KNHC 131132
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern Gulf:
A trough of low pressure is likely to form near the southeastern
U.S. coast during the next day or two and then move westward across
Florida into the northeastern Gulf by Tuesday. Environmental
conditions could support some gradual development of this system
during the middle to late part of this week while it moves westward
over the northeastern and north-central portions of the Gulf.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf
coast through the mid to late portion of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin
NHC Webmaster
Checked
5 years 9 months ago
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